The Magic 73

That’s the amount of points I feel will get you into the play-offs this season. Coincidentally that’s exactly 10 wins  from where we are now, which is 12th… what a familiar feeling.

Yet with just 14 games remaining I would be surprised if even the most optimistic of fan would assume we can grab 10 wins in that period; but can we muster 30 more points? Lets take a look at the numbers.

So far this season we’ve averaged 1.34 points a game: continuing at that run-rate we’d be looking to accrue another 19 points this season, leaving us on a total of a pretty routine 62 points. Only once in the last 5 years has a team broke the top 6 without reaching 70+ points, and that was with a tally of 69…

However in the last 10 games, there has been a certain resilience about the squad. Proving difficult to beat, the Saddlers have managed to gain 16 points in the last 10, with 4 wins, 4 draws and just 2 defeats. Baring a heavy defeat against Bolton (Vlog here & below) the team has seemed much more structured with a back 3 and the whole squad seems to be chipping in with goals.

Even so, if we kept this form going (averaging 1.6 points a game) we would still finish on just 65 points- not enough basically. Which is why I think Saturdays game is so crucial.

We’ve enjoyed some great results this season, a 1-0 win with 10 men over Bolton, doing the double on Sheffield United and even Tuesday night’s draw at Scunthorpe. But the teams around us are the ones that will be crucial now, especially as many have games in hand.

Peterborough, Fleetwood & Southend  in the next 5 weeks, all above us fighting for a playoff berth. I think we will need to take 7 points off those teams AND try to navigate Wimbledon, Chesterfield, Oldham & Charlton with only 1 defeat (if any)…a mighty tough ask.

With us needing to average 2.15 points a game for the rest of the season to hit the Magic 73, my head is telling me no and my heart, unfortunately, is as well. Lets hope they can prove me wrong… COYR

 

 

 

 

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